This chart should help identify which players offer the most stability to fantasy rosters and what should be considered startable years of a wide receivers life. When I became a full-time analyst and had time to research things like this, I wanted to give you concrete answers. Metcalf, and Justin Jefferson the last couple years, but this chart is your friendly reminder that wide receivers typically take time to develop. This Sundays game between the Rams and Vikings will feature the top two receivers in the NFL in receiving yards, each on one end of the twenties spectrum: Cooper Kupp has 1,625 yards at age 28, Justin Jefferson has 1,335 yards at age 22. At age 27, Calvin Johnson caught 122 passes for 1,964 yards, setting the single-season record that Cooper Kupp is looking to break in the next couple of weeks. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age-31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. Meanwhile, a new breed of defender the Jamal Adamses and Derwin Jameses of the world wears multiple hats and does it all at a high level. Then something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13. Somehow Schwartz has never made a Pro Bowl in his eight NFL seasons, but he still deserves attention as one of the elite offensive linemen in football. Dallas is the top unit because of its top three wide receivers. He is just another player on the list of recent Saints draft hits. He raised his grade from 79.4 as a rookie to 91.2 this past season, and his 88.8 grade over the last two seasons combined is higher than any other interior offensive lineman in the league over that span. What would they have to gain by telling you a player falls off a cliff at a certain age? Wide receivers age 25-29 peak at age 26 but they remain stable up until their age 30 campaign. Bosas 89.8 overall grade in 2019 ranked third among all edge defenders. The idea is that if you give a 24-year-old and a 31-year-old the same number of targets, we want to know whos more likely to produce (its the 31-year-old). Whats perhaps most interesting is that in addition to the names above, there were also quite a few other disappointments (Corey Davis, Calvin Ridley, Amari Cooper, DK Metcalf, A.J. Its tough to get into elite territory, and Im sure many would take WR1 production, right? Being able to produce with the ball in your hands matters. Those five players were between 726 and 967 yards. Clark is an exception, as his 90.9 pass-rush grade when lined up over center in 2019 was tops among any player who had a significant sample size. Like we always promise we will give you the high-level data first and you can take it for what it is worth. Gronk is set to come out of retirement to join the Bucs in 2020. Some fantasy owners want safety on their roster, even if they know the player may not offer WR1-type upside. He turns 32 in November. @Real10jayy__ is only the 5th rookie WR in the Super Bowl era with 1,000 Rec Yards and 10 Rec TD. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL . Johnson avoided having a crater year that tainted the memories we have of him and like James Dean, will always be remembered that way. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Not the 1,500-yard player that some of his peers were, Baldwin no less was setup for long-term success like a Derrick Mason would be in the decades before him. In fact, their prime might be in-between 29 and 31. Now that we know most wide receivers lose elite upside when they turn 32, what about performing as a consistent WR1 for your fantasy team? However, The average NFL career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years. The Miracle at the New Meadowlands. The third-year receiver is only 24 years old and has shown flashes of being a dangerous weapon. Superflex Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings (2023 Fantasy Football), Fantasy Football Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (March 2023 Update), Video: Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings (2023), NFL Free Agency Rumors & News: Derek Carr, Leonard Fournette (2023 Fantasy Football), Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football), Trending Up & Trending Down (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. No wide receiver has finished top-five in their age-21 season. Dez spent his entire 20s with the Cowboys, peaking in 2014 when he was 26-years-old: 88 receptions, 1,320 yards, 16 TD. And these are the good wide receivers. Slot vs. Its easy to get dispirited with Smith-Schuster after the 2019 season, attributing all his struggles in his third season to the fact that Antonio Brown wasnt there to draw away attention. Upon looking closer, it was just two receivers who accomplished that; they both did it twice (Larry Fitzgerald and Terrell Owens), and are both Hall of Famers. that also played a role. And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full, Moore hasnt had the best of quarterback circumstances, given that he's had to deal with an injured, duo for much of 2019, but hes been able to produce despite those limitations, putting up a receiving grade over 80.0 across his first two NFL seasons. Jefferson is now a 23-year-old with 196 catches, 3,016 yards, and 17 touchdowns in his career. All rights reserved. The Falcons trade Julio Jones for a second round pick, draft Kyle Pitts, save a ton of money, The Bengals part with A.J. After one year in LA, Wagner is looking for his third team in three years, Jalen Carter news shakes NFL Draft plans for all 32 teams, Carter is wanted in connection with a deadly crash in Georgia. Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? Thats what happens when a wide receiver challenges for MVP and Offensive Player of the Year; its not like being Aaron Donald or a quarterback, very few players lead the NFL in receiving more than once. Even Stafford saw it happen when he played with perhaps the most respected wide receiver of the century. That means if you dont have a target baseline in the analysis then youre including a lot of young wide receivers who dont pan out. The average NFL career for a wide receiver is. Theres a steady arc in the percentages, and its clear that a wide receivers prime is from age-25 through age-32. Gone are the days when two-receiver sets were the staple of the NFL , as t eams lining up in trips, four-wideout looks . He's on a streak of three consecutive Pro Bowls and has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons with a combined 29 sacks over that time. There have been trade talks and speculation surrounding Adams as he awaits a contract extension, but he deserves to get paid. He is coming off a 2019 season that earned a 96.0 overall grade, and he produced two consecutive seasons with an elite pass-rushing grade (90.0-plus) and over 50 quarterback pressures. Injuries have nagged Watt over the last few years, but he remains elite when he's on the field. Ingram made his third Pro Bowl in his first season with Baltimore, rushing for 1,018 yards and 10 touchdowns in 15 games for the league's top rushing offense. Wilson continues to be one of the NFL's best quarterbacks, making his sixth Pro Bowl last year and ending on the short list of Hall of Fame candidates. Here are the top 10 receivers in the AFC West heading into the 2022 season: 10. The New York Giants have told wide receiver Kenny Golladay he will be released after two horrible seasons. The number of those players who were at least 30 went from two to three to five, then back down to three. Hayward has become one of the game's most consistent cornerbacks since joining the Chargers in 2016. Similarly, he came close to leading the league in interceptions one year, recording an impressive eight interceptions during the same period. 1 receiver in Minnesota this year after the team traded Stefon Diggs. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. He made the Pro Bowl at age 29, but Baldwin was not the same player at 30 and he never played in the NFL again after that season. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. Top-24? From the data above on average 96.1 wide receivers per year played in the NFL between the ages of 25-29. The biggest takeaway while looking at this chart is something many have forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019. So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. His numbers werent just impressive compared to rookies, either. NAME GP REC TRG REC YDS AVG REC YDS/G REC TD RUSH YDS ATT YPC RUSH YDS/G RUSH TD; Don Hutson: 6: 55: 963: 17.5: 160.5: 12: Jim Benton: 5: 34 . Unreal snag by Robert Woods pic.twitter.com/XmhQidpeXf. Youve stumbled upon the correct article. Whenever I hear such stereotypes, I want to do my best to set the record straight. As a free safety, Williams doesnt see the ball come his way all that often as the primary coverage defender, but he has put up at least eight combined interceptions and pass breakups (on 25 or fewer targets) in both 2017 and 2019. Get the comprehensive list of every Wide Receiver for each NFL pro football team Gambling problem? Was the Bobby Wagner experiment a success for Rams? Barring a dramatic turnaround in the next two months, Beckham should not be a priority free agent for the Rams or anyone else. Below is a list of age 30+ wide receivers and where they finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft. ), surely you have noticed what Ive noticed. Turning 29 has not been kind: Wide receivers showing rapid decline, Rams facilities given a D+ grade in NFLPA survey, In a recent NFLPA survey, the Rams facilities were given a D+ grade by the players. You can drop this number down from 1,000 yards to 800 yards and it really will not make much of a difference. The Giants are releasing wide receiver Kenny Golladay, The Post's Paul Schwartz confirmed. By, Kareem Elgazzar / USA Today Sports Images, Douglas DeFelice / USA Today Sports Images, Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images, Vincent Carchietta / USA Today Sports Images, Robert Hanashiro / USA Today Sports Images, This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google. EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) The New York Giants have told wide receiver Kenny Golladay he will be released after two horrible seasons. Then last season, at 31, Julio started to show signs of decline with the Falcons. Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones is still one of the best. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. Kelce's brother, Travis, gets most of the attention in this prodigious football family, but Jason could have a better Hall of Fame case at the moment. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. NAME GP . We could start with those who were just named to the Pro Bowl: Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, thats eight solid receivers that virtually everyone can agree on. A more magnified peak is in the 25 to 29 range, where 57 percent of peak seasons reside. Big Ben is coming back in 2020 after missing most of 2019 to an elbow injury. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. The 29-year-old wideout will be released on March 15, which marks the first day of the new league year . This steep drop-off is no surprise, but it does influence the total number of age 30+ wide receivers who hit 100 targets in a season. In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. However, the fantasy gods are on our side as you can see the % of the wide receivers ages 30-34 who hit the 100 target benchmark actually increases to an average of 25.5%. This is much different than the running back chart youll see tomorrow. *T.Y. Winning in the trenches at a young age is not easy to do. What trends have we seen in the last 10 years of football? For 225 PPR fantasy points per year (roughly top-24 production), the average age was 27 with 80% of peak seasons falling within the age range of 23-30. Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. . He has three 1,000 yard seasons over the last four years as he enters his age 31 season. When you look at the company McLaurin is keeping when it comes to receiving grade as a rookie, its hard not to get excited about his prospects in 2020. Patrick Peterson, CB, Cardinals. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. In conclusion it seems that once a wide receiver hits age 30 the narrative is to fade them in drafts. Thats a lot of turnover and I guarantee that they will be on average, much younger than the 2021 list. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Which other receivers might join them on a list based on 2021 value? WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. 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